Predictions: Charlotte

October 16th, 2009 No comments

BANK OF AMERICA 500

Back to Nascar’s central hub and I never thought I’d be saying that it’s not only possible for Jimmie Johnson to win his fourth straight championship, but it now seems likely. After all, Lowe’s Motor Speedway is Jimmie’s house. Literally. I think he has an apartment in one of the suites. Who else can I pick to win here? I mean, who would you pick other than Jimmie? So here’s the other predictions for Charlotte. Mark Martin will come in 3rd and Juan Pablo Montoya loses his consistency and finishes outside the top 5 for the first time in the chase. Tony Stewart will come in second place and Ryan Newman will have a good run as well and finish 6th. Biffle will not fare well, nor will Carl Edwards as the Roush teammates finish 17th and 19th respectively. The rest of the Chasers will fill out somewhere in the 6th to 15th positions in there quest to be the least irrelevant chase driver over the last 5 races. But unless something goes quite wrong for Jimmie Johnson in the next two races, the G.O.A.T. articles are gonna start popping up like crazy.

Mojo check – Charlotte

October 15th, 2009 1 comment

Got Mojo
Jimmie Johnson – In the fall most tv stations stop the summer reruns. Nascar on the other hand….
Jeff Gordon – He needs a win, but he’s closer than he’s ever been in a chase format.
Juan Pablo Montoya – Could he get a top five in every chase race and still lose?

Semi Mojo
Tony Stewart – When you’re racing against Jimmie, you have to back up a win with another win. Not a win with a top ten. Sux doesn’t it?
Mark Martin – Have you seen Mark’s biceps? Dude. Seriously. I bet he could bench Tony Stewart.

Lacking Mojination
Kyle Busch – I almost feel bad for him at this point. Well except for the millions in cash, the celebrity and the trophy girlfriend.
Dale Earnhardt Jr. – If you could bottle mojo, I’d bet Jr would be buying the whole factory at this point.
Kasey Kahne – I know what will help you get by Kasey – Free Beer! Ah, sponsorship has its perks.

Jeff Gluck is wrong. This time.

October 13th, 2009 No comments

If you’re not on twitter, you may not have already seen Jeff Gluck’s article about the late race caution at Fontana. For a quick recap…Kasey Kahne made a comment about the caution right before his big wreck being a “phantom” caution (My quotes, not his), insinuating that Nascar had thrown the caution in order to bunch the field up and make for a more exciting finish. This type of accusation has been made about Nascar before, most notably by Tony Stewart a few years back when he said Nascar was becoming WWE. However, Jeff Gluck, a well-respected (by myself as well) Nascar writer wrote an article where he posited the idea that it didn’t matter if Nascar had intentionally thrown a caution if the end goal was to make the race more exciting and interesting for the fans. The article can be found here…

http://www.scenedaily.com/news/articles/sprintcupseries/Jeff_Gluck_Kasey_Kahne_says_debris_caution_was_bogus_but_so_what.html

Now, I understand the need to make a Fontana race more exciting. But there are other ways, for instance Don’t Race At Fontana being one of them. Through various posts on Twitter, Gluck has maintained his position and supported his argument with various points. And some are interesting and somewhat valid points. After all, the entire points system is reset for the chase, why not actual race positions at the end of a race? Another argument was that while it may change the outcome of a race, so do double file restarts. To get the full report follow Jeff Gluck on twitter. Actually you should do that anyway, he is after all a fantastic writer who is very knowledgable about Nascar. But on this issue he is wrong. Dead wrong.

There are reasons that people and Americans in general are obsessed with sports. One is what I’ll call “The Dream”. This is something that appeals to American sensibilities in particular. After all, it’s the American Dream. With hard work, dedication and talent, a person can succeed. The son of a cotton mill worker without a high school education becomes an American Icon. Sound familiar? It should, because that’s Dale Earnhardt. Another reason is that no matter who you are, black or white, tall or short, that sports have always been the great equalizer. Talent is all that matters. That’s why baseball and football were racially integrated before the rest of the country. That’s why Tiger Woods’ immense talent put the spotlight on a behind-the-times sport. We’re a superstitious bunch, us fans. We already think that there are weird forces aligning against our favorite drivers and teams. We scream at what we think are biased refs and at bad calls. The various bad calls and dubious rules provide enough fodder for a 24hour sports channel to exist and thousands of blogs, including this one. We want rules applied fairly no matter who you are, because if they aren’t then the dream and promise of sports dies. If sports lose their integrity, why bother with the sport? Why do you think people are so infuriated at the steroids scandal in baseball? Because integrity matters.

It’s exactly because of this that Jeff Gluck is wrong. The mere implication that Nascar is somehow pulling some sort of metaphorical set of strings to affect the racing is enough for fans to make the leap from affecting the quality of the race to affecting the outcome of the race. And believe me, once fans start to get the idea, right or wrong, that the outcome of a race is predetermined, then the gig is up. The dream is over. It’s not the idea that a single phantom caution is so bad. What is so bad is that Nascar has opened the door to speculation that the purity of competition has been compromised. As for the assertions about The Chase being reset and the double file restarts, etc. Those are rules that a driver knows going into a race and into a season. A random caution isn’t something that a driver knows about. That’s a wild card that’s just as egregious as a blown pass interference call in a playoff game.

I understand the desire to make races more interesting, but to use other sports as an example, home runs and touchdowns may be more exciting, but every once and awhile you get a pitchers’ duel or a defensive struggle. You don’t change the rules mid game to make it more exciting. You play by the rules that are set. A better option might be to get rid of boring tracks like Fontana, Chicago, Kansas etc. How many complaints about boring races do you hear about in regards to Bristol or Richmond or Darlington? You can’t screw with the integrity of a game by changing the rules in the middle of the game. This is something every parent teaches their kids. You can play god all you want, but unless you really are, then you just look stupid.

Jimmie’s on top. Again. yay.

October 12th, 2009 1 comment

So how does one judge Jimmie Johnson. Suppose for  a moment that JJ keeps his current chase lead through the rest of the season and wins his fourth consecutive championship. Is he immensely talented or does his team have the system gamed? No other driver has ever won 4 in a row and only 1 other has even won 3 in a row. Is he the best ever? When you see Jimmie on the track do you think, that dude is better than Gordon, Stewart, etc in pure driving ability? Or is it the ultimate example of the modern Nascar, where the right team and the right equipment can make a good driver great and a great driver extraordinary? I think that Jimmie is extremely talented and is with the best team in the business. I don’t think there will be answers to this for years to come. If another driver or two is able to string together multiple championships the way the 48 has, I may be inclined to blame the system. But until then, the dude’s got game.

Mojo Check – Dover

September 25th, 2009 No comments

Who’s got the Mojo going into Dover.

Straight Mojo
Mark Martin – Duh.
Denny Hamlin – Dude is ROLLIN! Follow a win with a second place? Serious monkey mojo.
Juan Pablo Montoya – Do NOT count this team out. EGR is gonna start putting “Teresa’s Revenge” on the back of all the 42’s paint schemes

Not Quite Mojolicious
Carl Edwards – A bunch of OK runs ain’t gonna cut it sucka. Maybe you should trade in that Duck for something known more for speeeeeeeeeeeed.
Kasey Kahne – It ain’t like Kasey lit it up at Richmond either. He doesn’t trust his team. Don’t expect his career to end there.

Bad Mojo
Matt Kenseth – Matt Matt Matt. Dude. Really? C’mon buddy! Where’s my Robot?!
Kevin Harvick – I know he’s been doing better lately…sort of? But this has been a nightmare season. I think he prefers black and silver. I mean really, a yellow car for Harvick? Did someone take his nickname literally?

Official Nascar 2010 schedule

September 24th, 2009 No comments

http://www.nascar.com/2009/news/headlines/official/09/15/2010.schedules/index.html

Ok. hold on. Fontana still has a Chase Race? Brian France must be thinking with his dipstick. This is just not cool. The Chase shouldn’t have a single race in it that won’t sell out seats. The changes to the schedule come across as seemingly arbitrary and having no real reason behind them whatsoever. Doesn’t anyone in Daytona read my blog?? Didn’t they see my post on this? Here it is again (below) because. Damn. Somebody just ain’t listenin’. And in regards to whoever came up with this travesty of inaction, I repeat the immortal words of Mrs. Cleaver from Airplane, “Jive ass dude don’t got no brains anyhow! Hmmph!” Yeah. Beaver’s mom knows the score homey.

http://theracemonkey.com/?p=12

Predictions: Dover

September 24th, 2009 No comments

Dover

Well now that I’m back on the bloggin train lets get down to some serious business, like making up completely fake predictions! I missed posting last week, but I can assure you that all my predictions were 100% correct. It was amazing and I’m sorry you missed it. So what’s going to happen this week then? Since you asked…

The new (old) Dodge engine will NOT help Kasey Kahne at all this week. He’ll finish a disappointing 16th and struggle to find speed all day. Hendrick will continue to show it’s might with Mark Martin following up his win with a 5th place finish and  Gordon getting a solid 7th. Greg Biffle finds some redemption with a strong 4h place finish where he won last year. Kyle Busch will continue to make his case for being included in the chase with a 6th place finish. Juan Pablo, not his weekend. 13th. Winner? Jimmie Johnson.